The Prediction: Texans vs. Chiefs

ANALYSIS Houston Sports NFL

Week 6: Texans (3-2) vs. Chiefs (4-1)

Last Meeting: October 8, 2017 in Houston, Texas. (Chiefs def. Texans 42-34)

Before I get into the article, let me just say that I think it is a complete robbery today that this match-up isn’t a prime time game. You have the two faces of the NFL going against each other for the first time ever, and the world will not be able to see it. I’m sure after today, the NFL will regret not making this game must see TV.

Today will be the Texans third real test of the season. Their first test was the Saints, a Super Bowl contender and perhaps the best team in the NFL. They came just short of passing that test, losing on a last second field goal. Then the second test came against the Los Angeles Chargers, another Super Bowl contender. The Texans passed that test with flying colors. Now, they have another big test with the Kansas City Chiefs, another Super Bowl contender and perhaps the best team in the AFC.

Again, this will be the first match-up between two MVP candidates in QB Deshaun Watson and QB Patrick Mahomes. They both were drafted in the 1st round of the 2017 NFL draft, Mahomes being the 10th pick and Watson being the 12th pick. These two have been lighting up the league since they came in it. Just like the Saints vs. Texans, this game will all come down to whoever has the ball last that will win this game.

It must be said that the Texans will be coming into this game relatively healthy. The only key player that they may miss today is WR Kenny Stills. Even then, the Texans have depth at the WR position with Deandre Hopkins, Will Fuller, and Keke Coutee. While the Texans are surprisingly healthy in week 6, the Chiefs are not. The Chiefs will be missing DE Chris Jones, WR Sammy Watkins, OT Eric Fisher, and possibly WR Tyreek Hill. Even Mahomes is coming in this game with an ankle injury, which will be huge because he is a QB who loves to move around in the pocket. With the Chiefs best OL being out, this is a great thing for the Texans pass rush. J.J. Watt, Whitney Mercilus, D.J. Reader, and Chalres Omenihu should be able to get after Mahomes today, which will be key for a Texans victory.

Though the Chiefs are banged up, this is still a dangerous team. On offense, they still have TE Travis Kelce, RB Lesean McCoy, and WR Mecole Hardman. This game is still expected to be a shootout. However, this game will go either two ways.

1. The Chiefs will win in a shootout game.

Though Sammy Watkins and possibly Tyreek Hill are not playing, Kelce and Hardman are borderline unstoppable today. The Chiefs are still scoring parts at an alarming rate, and has the ball last with 2 minutes or less to go. Down by 2, they drive down and score a game winning field goal, defeating the Texans by one point. In a high scoring affair, the Chiefs come out on top. We see Watson and the offense put the team in a position to win, only for the defense to not be able to close the game out, once again.

2. The Texans win in convincing fashion.

Today, we will see big-game Deshaun. We know he is no stranger to the big game. He thrives in hostile environments and Arrowhead Stadium is no different. He comes into this game with a chip on his shoulder, knowing that people think Mahomes is the better QB. He comes in and has one of the best performances of his career. Not only that, but the defense takes advantage of the banged up Chiefs offensive line and pressure Mahomes all day. The Texans come in and defeat the Chiefs, putting the NFL on notice.

The Prediction

I will have to go with option 2. The Texans are in great position to beat the Chiefs today. When both teams are fully healthy, I don’t think there is a significant gap in talent between the two teams. But with some key players injured for the Chiefs, I believe the Texans are currently the better team, and they will show it today.

FINAL SCORE: Texans 35 Chiefs 24